The latest data show that in 2003 the national production and sales of cars exceeded 1.95 million. This figure even exceeds the highest estimate of all auto industries in early 2003 - 1.8 million, an increase of more than 80%. And the entire domestic automobile production and sales volume has been determined to exceed 4 million. In 2004, can the domestic auto market continue to interpret growth myths?

Can high-speed growth continue?

Can automobile production and sales maintain high growth of 30%? Can the production and sales of cars maintain the growth myth of 80%? At the end of the year and the beginning of the year, all kinds of predictions for the Chinese automobile market came to an end. According to this growth rate, the domestic automobile production and sales in 2004 will reach more than 5.2 million, and the production and sales of cars will reach more than 3.5 million.

Although the outside world has expressed concern over the continued high growth of the Chinese automobile market in the next two years, major auto manufacturers have not issued astonishing growth targets for production and sales as in early 2003. However, considering the high economic growth and huge consumption of cars, With optimism and inertia, optimists still have the upper hand.

Can policy makers reappear

In 2002, it was considered as the policy hand that affected the deepest year of the auto market. It was exactly the introduction of a series of policies after the accession to the WTO that drove the rapid development of the domestic auto market. In early 2004, there have been two major policies announced in the year will be introduced: First, the General Administration of Quality Supervision announced that it will first introduce the recall system in the automotive industry, first, the State Administration of Taxation said that it will implement the fuel tax at an appropriate time. The automobile industry policy that cannot be called out for a long time will appear with a new look this year. The industry is generally concerned about the approval system for car access, the requirements for the proportion of self-owned brands, and the “separation of the two networks” of sales channels. Will there be any changes, and can the policies be issued with appropriate operational rules? Is the automobile consumption policy combined with industrial policy? People will wait and see.

Can independent brands rise?

The development of independent brands, the cultivation of independent development capabilities, and the formation of core competitiveness have not only attracted the attention of the central leadership, but have also become the consensus of Chinese auto companies.

In 2004, companies such as Geely, Brilliance, Hafei, Changan, and Chery, who are gradually developing their own brands, will launch a number of new products with independent intellectual property rights. The SAIC Motor Corporation, FAW, and Dongfeng are also accelerating their efforts to build their own brands. The joint venture with the most powerful car industry will go from here. This year, whether it can set off a new upsurge in building its own brand will affect the future of the Chinese auto industry. At the beginning of the year, the Chinese concept car “Zhenpeng” appeared at the North American International Auto Show, and it seems that it is also a clear indication of the good prospects of its own brand.

Can industry capital go hot?

The high profits of the automotive industry have attracted more and more peripheral enterprises to enter the automobile. From home appliance company Kelon, cell phone manufacturer Bird, battery king BYD, to liquor giant Wuliangye, tobacco king Hongtashan, one after another.

The "car fever" has aroused the government's high concern, and the fear that China's auto industry will repeat Brazil's mistakes will not be overstated. Repeated construction is Yefeiye? What kind of measures should be taken by relevant departments to regulate the market economy? unknown. However, in 2004, it will be a crucial year for these industry capitals to become popular in the auto industry.

Whether Chinese cars can be exported in large quantities

Chery’s Iranian plant, SAIC Motor’s shareholding in South Korea’s Daewoo, ZTE’s exit of the country, Shanghai GM’s export to the Philippines, and Shanghai Volkswagen’s export to Australia... In 2003, the highlights of China’s autos going abroad were constantly shining. In early 2004, Chery’s 700 new cars were exported, FAW’s largest batch of mini-vehicles was exported, and Chinese company Bluestar wanted to acquire South Korea’s Ssangyong and so on, which seemed to indicate that Chinese cars would go further abroad. Whether China-made cars can go out of the country in large quantities will not only be related to the country's "going out" strategy, but also the homework that must be done to become a big automobile country and a powerful automobile country. How to go in 2004, we can only wait and see.

Renovation is a challenge or an opportunity

Renovating overloading and resolving urban traffic congestion have become social hot issues in late 2003. It is understood that rectification of overload will become the main task of the national road traffic authority this year. Is this a challenge or an opportunity for trucks and modified cars? In the short term, the idleness of many vehicles is hindering the development of the commercial vehicle market. However, if we insist on long-term treatment, if China's truck standards are gradually brought into line with foreign countries, the heavy-duty truck market is expected to become the highlight of the recovery of commercial vehicles. Resolving urban traffic congestion will allow more consumers to join the ranks of private car owners.

Who will become China's "four steam"

Outside the three major groups, Changan will achieve the goal of “recreating a Changan three years ahead of schedule” one year ahead of schedule; Beijing Hyundai and Beijing Jeep, which are owned by Beijing Auto, are also making efforts; Guangzhou Automobile’s engine project has been approved by the government, and Jiamei’s car project is waiting for approval. Guangzhou Honda will produce 200,000 cars this year...

In 2003, who will become China's "four steam" suddenly became the focus of the automotive industry. The local media seems to have joined the group, constantly analyzing and analyzing. In fact, it has not yet emerged that it can truly sit on the same plane as FAW, SAIC, and Dongfeng. Then, who will most hope to become China's "four steam"? In 2004, the dust of a series of major projects fell, but it may only take shape.

Who will play the protagonist of mergers and acquisitions?

At the end of the year, Greencool entered the Yaxing Bus and Bluestar Group proposed the acquisition of South Korea's Ssangyong. Non-automotive companies are entering the auto industry through acquisition and restructuring and are entering a new round of climax.

Merger and reorganization, the theme of the development of the Chinese auto industry in 2002, can it set off another new climax in 2004? Are the three major groups, Changan, Guangzhou Automobile, or other non-auto companies, who will play the protagonist of mergers and acquisitions?

Whether the overall price reduction will exceed 15%

The production plan of car manufacturers will increase substantially, and dozens of new cars will be queued up. The degree of competition in the auto market can be imagined this year. At the beginning of the new year, Maxima, Sail, Antelope, Changfeng Cheetah, imported cars, etc. have cut their prices, and the price of this auto market is “eternal topic”. What surprises will this year bring to consumers? Some analysts believe that the price cut at the beginning of the new year can only be considered as a chopper. The real climax of price cuts for the first time in 2004 will emerge during the market downturn after the Spring Festival.

How many new cars really worth waiting

Toyota Corolla, Peugeot 307, Honda CR-V, Cadillac, Nissan TEANA, Volkswagen Touran, New Beetle...

In 2004, in the end how many new cars will be listed, no one has a standard. However, it is certain that the substantial increase in the number of competing food eateries will make the number and frequency of new car launches in 2004 much higher than in the past. How many new cars really worth waiting for? Only consumers themselves find the final answer.

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Rated voltage: 380V, 400V, 415V, 220V, 230V, 240V, etc
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